Futures Fall Slightly Before Economic Data
Posted Thursday, March 18th, 2010 in DailyRead, Morning Outlook by ILive-DaveTags: CPI, Economic Calendar, Jobless Claims, Leading Indicators, Morning Outlook
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Morning Outlook
Futures are heading slightly lower in the premarket ahead of a host of economic data, including weekly jobless claims and CPI data to follow up yesterday’s PPI number. Stocks come into the session sitting at fresh 17 month highs and will look to further extend those gains. Dow Jones industrial average futures fell 1, or less than 0.1 percent, to 10,662. Standard & Poor’s 500 index futures fell 1.60, or 0.1 percent, to 1,159.40, while Nasdaq 100 index futures fell 3.00, or 0.2 percent, to 1,931.00. The dollar is higher against foreign currencies, namely the euro as concern overseas still remains over the prospects of a Greece bailout.
On Wednesday, the DJIA added 47.69 points, or 0.5%, to 10,733.67, as 24 of 30 blue chips were positive on the session. Energy and financials led the S&P to advanced for the 3rd straight day, adding 6.75 points, or 0.6%, to 1,166.21. The tech heavy Nasdaq Composite Index rose 11.08 points, or 0.5%, to 2,389.09.
Currencies and Commodities
The dollar fell 0.0930% at 90.221 yen in the currency market. The euro depreciated 0.4877% to $1.3671 while the pound lost 0.3458% to $1.5272. Gold rose $1.40 to $1125.60 an ounce, while silver lost 0.19% at $17.49. Light, sweet crude fell 62 cents to $82.31 per barrel on the NYMEX; a 0.75% decline.
Economic Calendar
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Consumer Price Index (CPI): Measure of the average price level of a fixed basket of goods and services purchased by consumers. Monthly changes in the CPI represent the rate of inflation. The consensus is for a 0.1% increase in February, with a 0.1% gain excluding food and energy. This follows a 0.2% rise in January and could come in on the low end following this weeks number.
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Jobless Claims: New unemployment claims for the week of March 13th , to show the number of individuals who filed for unemployment insurance for the first time. The fewer people filing for unemployment benefits, the more have jobs, the more income in the consumer’s pocket, as well as a forecast on the strength of the economy. The consensus is for an increase of 455,000 for first time jobless claims after falling only 6,000 to 462,000 and driving up the four-week average by 5,000 to 475,500 for the highest level since November. The weekly number has remained stubbornly and persistently high.
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Leading Indicators: A composite index of ten economic indicators that should lead overall economic activity. The consensus is for an increase of 0.2% for the month of February, which would be the lowest reading in nearly 5 months. This follows an increase of 30 basis points in January.
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Stocks finished strong into the closing bell yesterday, with major averages advancing across the board following the conclusion of the fed’s March meeting. The Dow Jones industrial average gained 43.83 points, or 0.41 percent, to end at 10,685.98. The Standard & Poor’s 500 Index rose 8.95 points, or 0.78 percent, to finish at 1,159.46. The Nasdaq Composite Index added 15.80 points, or 0.67 percent, to close at 2,378.01.
All eyes are on the Fed today as they release their statement from the concluding March meeting. Target rates will stay the same, but comments on housing, economic growth, and the duration of prolonged low interest rates will alongside other keywords will be looked for. But that isnt until the afternoon. This premarket we will get some groundbreaking data for housing, which hopefully will show signs of life. So far in futures action, equities in the U.S are reversing earlier losses to turn green. Blue chip futures are up 17 points to 10,593, looking to extend 5 consecutive advances. S&P futures inched up 2 to 1,147.70, while the Nasdaq is up 2.75 points to 1,919.75.
Futures rose slightly on Wall Street Friday following a nice red to green reversal into the close yesterday. Traders await further economic data this morning to help push these major averages past 15 month highs, Retail sales, consumer sentiment and business inventories all major components of GDP will give the market further direction. The strong late buying Thursday is a good indication of where the market wants to go. So far in futures trading, Dow Jones industrial average futures gained 13, or 0.1 percent, to 10,631. Standard & Poor’s 500 index futures rose 1.60, or 0.2 percent, to 1,147.50, while Nasdaq 100 index futures edged up 2.00, or 0.1 percent, to 1,924.50.
No economic news to speak of, but Greece will be pitching its case to the U.S. Please for the love of god Obama Administration stay away from this! I am putting my stake in the ground, if the U.S. does anything to help Greece by providing any financial backing, I will join the Tea Party movement. Who knows, I could be Palin’s right hand man, not a bad spot to be!
The broader market will put its six day winning streak on the line Monday, as futures are narrowly mixed in premarket action. Futures have steadily risen throughout the morning following losses slight losses in Europe. Dow Jones industrial average futures gained 19 points, or 0.2 percent, to 10,564. Standard & Poor’s 500 index futures rose 1.90, or 0.2 percent, to 1,138.40, while Nasdaq 100 index futures rose 1.75, or 0.1 percent, to 1,887.25.While the street will get data on inventories, retail sales and consumer sentiment in the second half of the week, the economic calendar is crystal clear today.
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