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Posts Tagged ‘V’

MasterCard stabilizes Visa, Next Psychological Target for MA $300

Tuesday, April 29th, 2008

MasterCard reported this morning and has dragged Visa (for now) up from last nights inability to perform after hours given decent earnings. (aka Visa will follow the success of MA) Something tells me they were less than expected… OR… the street wanted to see what MasterCard had under its belt before they dived in. I think MasterCard can carry it for another quarter before Visa really needs to become a big boy of their own and knock out street expectations by doubling profits.

Here are some entries regarding Visa and MasterCard.

Mastering The Reality, Visa Caution
Doing Well in a Downturn? Priceless
Goldman Sachs Bullish on Visa

At this point, MasterCard is at $264 premarket, in about 30 minutes the market will open and as always it should be an interesting battle between shorts and longs. This may dip to the $257-$258 (overdone) and it may spike to the $270 level immediately out of the open (which will probably be corrected back to the $265 range)

At this point shorts are already pretty well toasted so I wouldn’t be surprised to see them get toasted even more towards the $275 range.

I am only speaking on behalf of premarket results and activity, if it can consolidate in this area you will see many $300-$320 upgrades and soon enough it will be on its way there. It’s psychological. It’s probably that Visa panic sells again out of open but I wouldn’t expect that to last (as long as MasterCard holds its gains when MA has consolidated they both should break out higher).

Here are a few lower priced stocks to watch TODAY

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Visa, MasterCard and a few to Watch for Tuesday

Monday, April 28th, 2008

Visa reported … looks like its going to fill the gap tomorrow. I think a lot of people want to see how MasterCard’s earnings turn out before they are convinced.

Another article of interest regarding Mastercard and Visa HERE.

NURO a big percentage gainer for today, this may gap over $3.00. If it does watch for the squeeze over $3.25 before taking any short position. If it gaps large - this may test back to $2.50 but watch for dips because this may turn into a trades delight the next few days being in the price range that it is.
NURO

SDXC quite a gainer lately I’d like to see it test a bit higher (around the $14 level) before shorting. If it doesn’t provide a short opportunity Watch for this to consolidate in the $12.25-$12.40 range before moving towards $15.
SDXC

STEC bullish pattern lately this should test $10 - that’s the next resistance if it breaks it this could turn into a multi day breakout
STEC

MRCY - up quite a bit today I don’t really like this but any squeeze out of open may provide profit potential down to $8.25.
MRCY

JEF heading towards $20, if tomorrow’s out of open doesn’t test it right away this should test back down to $18 first.
JEF

Tomorrow’s the BIG DAY for Visa and Mastercard!

Sunday, April 27th, 2008

Fortunately the market’s recent move has had a lot of support by stocks like AAPL, BIDU and GOOG allowing it to consolidate at these higher levels without a sell off. We have two “BIG” stocks left (Visa and MasterCard) - there are a lot of people that are sitting on the sidelines with Visa because its their first report…
MA has held ALL gains and has been knocking out 52 week highs left and right even when the market was in the gutter. I expect a lot of volatility between the two stocks tomorrow. Visa could test $80 if people are optimistic enough. Again as with BIDU, AAPL and GOOG, risk vs. reward .. I’m not sure I’d hold over.. you’re throwing a dart again.

If Visa hits… it’s going to $100, period.

Tim Sykes compares it to card collecting in the 1990’s and earlier in an AOL article he discusses HERE.
Or You Thought VISA (V) was the Hottest IPO of 2008? Wrong.
MA

v

Other upcoming earnings HERE

Other Financial Blogs relating to MasterCard or Visa HERE HERE and HERE

BIDU’s Numbers Out, Price Stays and What’s on Watch for Friday 04/24/2008

Friday, April 25th, 2008

BIDU reported after the bell today, Q1 profit surged on ads, you can read the report HERE. It’s trading up just over 2% higher after hours. Option players: too bad for you (sidelines was the better play!) Maybe tomorrow brings the $25 to 50 dollar swing you were hoping for in sympathy of GOOG’s move after earning.. sure it’d be nice, but HIGHLY DOUBTFUL.

BIDU

Although its not a $90 dollar surge on earnings it’s still extremely significant that it’s still trading at $150 dollars higher than it was one month ago. That means the market has accepted (for now) the powerful surge we saw in the last month and in fact gave it even more of a premium to that move today after hours. Just look at the chart, up $160 dollars within the past month, up $60 within the past week, NOT BAD! This says a lot about where the market may be headed now that some of the biggest companies have released their numbers versus the fear wall street had less than a month ago. This may be even more meaningful than GOOG since GOOG didn’t have any earnings priced in, people were wearing about what they’d produce for results. All and all, I think its a good thing, the real test is tomorrow - we’ll see, after all I’m not buying these things to hold, they are just trades.. and with that all I want them to be is VOLATILE. MSFT down AH’s on earnings.. eh.. Not too worried its BIDU, AAPL and GOOG that will pull the market up down or as we’ve seen the past two days… keep it at tight consolidation phase.

Anyhow, next is MA and V. Visa which as we saw how $70 was THE KEY BREAK and moving straight up following MA.

Now .. For Friday:

Scan: UNS MMR EZCH RGN UTEK

Yes a revisit to three stocks - but they are all still in play USN MMR and EZCH

UNS - without going into detail again, the way it should be played can be found HERE. To add, it may gap over $32 tomorrow to try to scare off some short sellers into covering, tease some longs into buying and yes… ‘gap and crap’ is the play I’m looking for out of open - but play with caution it can squeeze at any moment - read THIS first.
UNS

MMR - attempting to test that $30, if this starts to fall again it may not come back so easily this is up 100% in a month. One last hoo-rah of a push by the longs before the shorts take over and give a $2-3+ correction. A good play if it squeezes out of open is to use today’s strategy on USN watch for it to triple top before you jump in, take a partial position if you feel you’ve nailed the top and add once it has confirmed. The way it came back today shows that it is strong … so I’m not jumping all over this to short it, I’d like to see a squeeze first.
MMR

EZCH - from last nights scan - this is why it’s important to watch for key breaks and see how it reacts. Most importantly - Let IT put the top in, don’t throw a dart thinking you’ve nailed a bulls eye. I am using the same strategy I spelled out last night to play this one. It broke the $15 barrier now I’d like to see it test the next dollar mark at $16. If it does I will watch for a large spike to short on, if it doesn’t I will short when it breaks back under $15
EZCH

Two new ones

RGN - this has been quite a move off the lows up over 120%. Watching for this to test $2.00’s. This really isn’t that much $ volume so it could go either way as you saw with PDO. Watch for spikes more on this as it plays out…
RGN

UTEK - if this can’t break $14.50 tomorrow radar it heavily, if it does.. use a EZCH style apprach
UTEK

PGNX would be on my scan, but I looked at it after hours… it’s up 20% on news…Progenics and Wyeth Announce FDA Has Approved RELISTOR No thanks!

Many times I scan back through my previous scans - its easy.. and all of the charts are there and update daily … Today scanning back things that didn’t pop up on my regular scan which show decent plays setting up are:

FCSX - see chart HERE watching for $40.80 to drop can be a good play back to $38
OSTK - see chart HERE - this is ready for another move HIGHER toward $20 IMO.

GRMN may squeeze towards $50

“GRMN has it sank enough yet? $43, if the market is strong tomorrow this
could move towards $45, I’d expect a small bounce before it hits more
lows. In fact I believe $42s will be the lowest this goes for the next
month”

Not TOO many on scanner tonight, but that’s ok tomorrow is Friday. Remember, don’t force a trade, if there isn’t volume don’t bother. You want something that trades so that you can always get in and out at the click of a bottom without getting ripped off. At times, if it lacks volatility and/or volume there may be a spread between the bid and ask, if you decide you want to cover there could be a .25 to .50 cent spread.

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