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Archive for May 2nd, 2008

So….. When does the Market Take a Breather? (Temporarily That Is!)

Friday, May 2nd, 2008

Is the market getting toppy and time for a brief consolidation period or are we just getting started?

First and foremost, no I do not want the market to top, I’d love it to keep going up up and up and never look back but unfortunately that’s not the way things work. We must face squeezes, pull backs, consolidation phases, force panic sells, force short covers, all part of what goes into the building of the charts you see below and give us technical traders something to shout about.

Do I think top for a lot of the big boards is tomorrow? Not sure.

TWO SCENARIOS.

First: Yes I do because such a strong day today should be followed by a gap the following day. This usually encourages profit taking, and if a domino effect occurs could start a sell off through the day.

Second: After such a good week I doubt any one at wall street wants to end the weekend on a down note so they may be rather optimistic heading into the weekend and we see even more squeezes tomorrow setting Monday up for the big gap and crap day. (Keep in mind this is not by any means saying its topped for good, as I said pull backs are healthy and help long run sustainability).

GOOG - as I’ve said once this consolidates its going to have a magnet towards $600, ok we are $7 dollars away .. what now? What happens when it hits $600. Are investors content? Do they move on? Exactly! Sure we’ll probably see upgrades back to the $650 to 700 range we’ll probably see a squeeze Friday or Monday over $600 but then what? ……. It’s going to need to consolidate. ($610-620 possible on a good squeeze - but will test $585-590 after any big squeeze like that IMO)
GOOG
More GOOG blogs HERE HERE

MA - Again another psychological target $300 right away the first thing you think of when its breaks into the higher half of $200 (aka $250+). $310 possible on the squeeze then to retest under $300 ($285-290)
MA
More MA blogs HERE HERE and HERE.

RIMM - The big break all along that it can’t get is $130 this one may be a bit different. It’s been consolidating each move it makes. $130 seems like the top here, once it breaks… peoples eyes will be glued to $150 and RIMM will be well on its way to becoming the next $200-300 dollar stock.
RIMM
More RIMM blogs HERE HERE HERE and HERE

BIDU has been having a bit of trouble lately breaking out too much (probably because of the gains its been holding without a dip for the past month). If the markets dip this will restest $355. If it continues to consolidate the big break here is $380.
BIDU
BIDU blogs HERE

Scan for Friday

Thursday Nights Scan for May 2nd

Friday, May 2nd, 2008

JRJC - This is why its important to be a trader and not make stupid bets! After a brief correction towards $18 back on track and broke WAY past the $21 I anticipated for the bounce. This is definitely in squeeze mode and may play towards $25! This is why pullbacks are healthy because it locks in new longs and those who don’t just play the healthy corrections and cover get squeezed. $22 is a BIG break, that will push it past prior highs, it should gap over this resistance.
Some other blogs HERE HERE and HERE.

WSCI - I’m watching for bounce here at $13.63. This had a low of $13.02. This is definitely one to radar. If it sells off out of open, watch it like a hawk. This can do what FEED did today, sell off .50-1.00 more knock out any other stop losses (force people to panic sell) before recovering towards the upside. Also similar to what we saw above in JRJC, and squeeze right up past prior resistance.
WSCI

Many of Wednesday breakout stocks are still on scan: VIEW HERE

If UTEK can’t hold $14 this will be good for $1-1.50 downside IMO. It squeezed at the close today watch for a gap and crap. If it can’t break $14.50 radar it for the short back to $13.
UTEK

CNC - it’s attempted to break $19 twice, both unsuccessful, watch for the third attempt, if it doesn’t again, third times the charm see you at $16-17. IT HAS however corrected and recovered quickly from Tuesdays dip to the mid $17s (this is a sign of strength -bulls are still in control) so I’d like to see the bulls win, have this surpass $20 and then think about the short!
CNC

MESA - watch for this one to break over $1.00 it may squeeze from there but the more it squeezes the better because this will more than likely end up back in sub dollar range once it passes. Even with the recent settlement.
MESA



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