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Archive for April 16th, 2008

Now for some Breakouts and Short Candidates

Wednesday, April 16th, 2008

Breakouts:

CMO is on the verge of breakout, this could easily fill the gap to $16.00 on a break of $13.92 (lets call it $14) which is the 200 day moving average. There is a double top around the 13.75 area. The play here is buying on the $14.00 break.
CMO

BCF is breaking its all time highs, this is well on its way towards the $20s
BCF

ENI - Amazingly bullish stock, this is heading for over $20 and hasn’t shown any weakness to this point.
ENI

Short Watch: Near Term

BEXP topping off it may squeeze through $10 but if volume dries and starts to show weakness this will test sub $9
BEXP

GBRC - this one is topping off, perhaps one more squeeze towards the $4.50 range and that’s about it, this is up way to much.
GBRC

The following I am looking for spikes to short on, these are all on the verge of breakout but still have another $1 to $2.00 in their squeezes, if they don’t and turn red, perfect time to short - these are not long term shorts they are just short term trades. It’s taking advantage of a price correction after a huge move higher, although they may sustain over the long period and make even more highs they still need to consolidate and filter out some of the longs. Investors/Traders end up satisfied with there enormous gains in such a short period of time and the first sign of weakness they are afraid to give them all back.

HL I’d like to see test $14
HL

HA - this could squeeze almost to $10 before it takes a break
HA

AAV looks very toppy today but given market conditions I’d like to see another squeeze out of it before I’m convinced theres a good short side opportunity

AAV

CLR - what a move for the longs, this may test $45 again shortly but needs a break if it’s going to hold any of these gains longer term
CLR

CF I wouldn’t be surprised to see $160 before it gives shorts some ease
CF

BG on watch towards $130
BG

BTU $68 I’ll start watching
BTU

Huge Day in Markets followed by HUGE IBM’s Q1 Earnings After Hours

Wednesday, April 16th, 2008

Lots of good things happening around the markets today. Very bullish day all around not to mention IBM!! IBM’s Q1 earnings jump 26 pct, company increases outlook - this should lift the markets into a spectacular day tomorrow!
Wall Street Journal: IBM Bucks Slowdown, But We’re Not Out of the Woods Yet
Seeking Alpha: Is It Really a Tech Tell?
Seeking Alpha: Big Blue Delivers Big Profits

AAPL $160 breakout

AAPL

BIDU shorts have been and continue to be toast
BIDU

IBM great numbers out after the close and unlike CROX they actually increased their outlook
IBM

MA - we’ll see if it can bring V with it, again I’m not buying V until it breaks $70, then its a sure break towards $100 since its a physiological target
MA

ICE on the verge of breakout, another great set up here, this can easily squeeze towards $165
ICE

Trade Ideas for tomorrow?

GRMN has it sank enough yet? $43, if the market is strong tomorrow this could move towards $45, I’d expect a small bounce before it hits more lows. In fact I believe $42s will be the lowest this goes for the next month
GRMN

GNVC - This one finally peaked as expected - didn’t quite make it to $2.50 but surely lost it from there, should test $2.00 before testing $2.50 again - in fact it should test around the $1.80 mark.
GNVC



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